Service Plays Sunday 12/28/08

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

THE SOCCER EXPERTS

NOW 13-3 SIDES AND TOTALS
4-1 PARLAYS


SUNDAY, Dec. 28

Everton to win
09:00 AM
England - Premier League

MONDAY, Dec.29
Man Utd v Middlesbrough under 3
03:00 pm
England - Premier League

Parley:
Everton to win
Man Utd v Middlesbrough under 3

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Wunderdog

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Game: Denver at San Diego (Sunday 12/28 8:15 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total UNDER 50.5 -110


The last game of the NFL regular season will be a virtual playoff matchup between the Broncos and the Chargers. The Chargers looked dead in the water at 4-8 through 12 games, but three straight wins combined with terrible play by Denver (against the Raiders and Bills at home no less), results in this game being played for the AFC West Title. The Broncos have worn the overrated banner all season long. The perception that this team was somehow good was created when Jay Cutler opened the season leading the Broncos to 38 ppg and a 3-0 record. Cutler had thrown for eight TD passes and 308 yards per game in those first three games. The truth was that even then, Denver was severely overrated. Their only convincing win of the three was vs. lowly Oakland. Ed Hoculi handed them an undeserved win vs. San Diego in game two, and they squeaked by New Orleans in game three with a late field goal to win by 2 points. That 308 yard average by Cutler would only be reached four times in the next 11 games. At the time, he had a 113.4 QB rating. The last 12 games would see Cutler not complete a single game with a rating that high. After the opening three games throwing eight TDs, the next 12 saw him throw just 16 more. The problem with those 16 TDs is that they came with 14 INTs. The 38 ppg offense was reduced to an offense that has averaged 19.6 ppg in their last 12 games. That would rank No. 25 in the NFL in points scored per game. The Chargers have played to a 7-3-1 record to the UNDER in their last 11 weeks. And, this team has not faced a total of greater than 48.5 points the entire season! They just haven't been great on either side of the ball, but good on both sides of the ball. Totals in the 50s should be reserved for teams with big, consistent offenses and neither of these teams has demonstrated that this season. I like this one to go UNDER the total.
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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

ace-ace / alan eastman (-820 ytd, including season win total bets)

PHI-1.5.............................$2000.00
SD 1ST HALF -6..................$600.00
ARI-6.................................$800.00
MIA M/L+125.......................$600.00
WASH M/L +137...................$500.00

TEASER

PHI+8.5
MIA+13
WASH +13.............................$300.00
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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Big Al 5* GOM

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bills + the points over New England. Although the Patriots are in a 'must-win' situation, it doesn't follow that they will automatically cover the spread. Indeed, the oddsmakers have over-compensated for New England's desperate strait, as this line is about 10 points different than what it would have been six weeks ago. Buffalo and New England played in early November, and the Patriots won 20-10 as a 3.5-point favorite, yet have now been installed as a ROAD favorite of a touchdown. Perhaps this would be understandable if Buffalo had thrown in the towel after being eliminated from the playoffs, but that hasn't happened. The Bills have been extremely competitive the past two weeks: Buffalo lost 31-27 to the Jets on December 14 as an 8-point underdog, and upset Denver last week as a 6.5-point underdog. Granted, New England has looked great the past two weeks, but its competition was the Raiders (one of the NFL's worst teams) and the Cardinals, who didn't play with their best players after clinching their division earlier in the month. Three weeks ago, New England struggled mightily to defeat a poor Seattle club, 24-21, as a 7-point favorite. This season, NFL teams are 23-16 when playing with same-season revenge, including 14-7 ATS as an underdog. Also, since December 2005, NFL teams are an awful 0-17 ATS on the road off a 23-point win, if they're NOT getting 3+ points, and are matched up against an opponent that's also off a win. With New England in off a 47-7 win over Arizona, the Patriots fall squarely within our 0-17 ATS angle. Buffalo also falls into 92-37 and 34-9 systems of mine which play on certain home dogs off road wins, and a 33-7 ATS "Last Home Game" system of mine. 5* NFL Game of the Month on the Bills. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Pointwise

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Rating:6 Louisiana Tech 19 Northern Illinois 16

Ratings are from Top(1) to Bottom(6)
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[ymmit2nd]

RON RAYMOND’S 5* NFL O/U GAME OF THE WEEK!
Pick # 1 New England Patriots / Buffalo BillsUnder 40 -110

 

[ymmit2nd]

ASA

NFL
6*Houston (NFL)
4*San Fransciso (NFL)
3* Arizona (NFL)


College
3* Louisina Tech (Bowl Game)

 

[uscmd]

Hilton Week 17

Top 20 finish in the money. Top guy gets ~250,000....so this could be a huge week for the 2 guys tied for #1.

Both guys took NO+3 and Den+8. So the 250k comes down to:

Stylin: Jet-2.5, Arz-6.5 and Phil-1

Bettin doc: Indy+3, Min-7 and Hou-3





Picked by most cappers (3-2 last week, 41-36-3 overall)

1

Denver+8

By 72

2

New Orleans +3

By 71

3

NY Jets -2.5

By 64

4

Buffalo +6

By 59

4

San Francisco -3

By 59


Picked by widest margin

1

New Orleans +3

By 46 more

2

San Francisco -3

By 43 more

3

Denver +8

By 41 more

4

Houston -3

By 35 more

5

Arizona -6.5

By 34 more


Picks for Top Contestants (51-24-3)

The Betting Doctor


Minnesota -7
indy+3
Houston -3
Denver+8
New Orleans +3

Stylin'

NY Jets -2.5
Philadelphia -1
Arizona -6.5
New Orleans+3
Denver +8

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Kevin Kavitch Overall a monitored 49-35-2 for the season heading into week 17.


I don't take many favorites and double-digit favs are extremely rare for me. Here's why I'm recommending the Ravens. To me, they are a playoff quality team and they will be highly motivated knowing if they win, they're in. Personally, I think this could be the dark-horse of the 2008 playoffs with a killer D and capable offense. Baltimore is 8-2 SU & ATS their last 10 and Flacco getting more experience is a big reason following their 2-3 start. I think they cover the big number because their D can be dominant at home and the atmosphere will be nuts. Offensively they've scored 30+ in 3 of their last 5 and have won by 14+ in 6 of their last 10. The Jags D has been well below average and have allowed 30+ in 3 of their last 5. The potential is there for a lopsided win. Take Baltimore -11 for a 3* Regular Play.


I'm backing Detroit to put up a fight and cover. Last week we lost with them in a game that got out of control and snowballed. I'll give them credit for not making excuses but info came out Sunday that quite a few players including Orlovsky were hammered by a nasty flu bug. I wonder if that played a role once they fell behind considering they had fought hard and covered vs Minesota and Indy the 2 previous weeks. It could also mean a better effort this week. I do expect their best effort Sunday facing the infamous 0-16. If they were a fractured team with no talent I wouldn't touch them. But this isn't a divided team, just a losing one. They've shown they have some talent when they have their heads screwed on straight (especially on offense and their kicking game) and I expect Orlovsky to play well. They talk about the team not winning in Green Bay since 1991 or whatever it is. Who cares? Anyone that thinks what happened between around 1991-2004 is clueless. Actually, sportsbooks LOVE these types of deep thinkers because they tend to lose alot of cash. Let's not worry about the fact not a single player or coach was on either roster from those 90's teams. Actually, there's your quality control check. If you see any handicapper say that's part of their rationale for picking a winner in this game, you know they're a joke. Guaranteed some will and also charge a pretty penny for this rocket-scientist-like insight. Green Bay has lost some close ones and they're better than they're 5-10 record. They definitely won't want to lose this one. But let's keep in mind this is a team that has lost 5 straight and 7 of their last 8. You want to lay double-digits with them vs a truly desperate opponnent? Will the Lions win? I don't know and part of me wants to see a 0-16 train wreck. But I do think the Lions going to fight hard and they're not playing a dominant opponent by any stretch of the imagination. That will be good enough to cover. Take Detroit +10.5 for a 3* Regular Play
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[brady1983]

Larry's NFL 25-Club Play (3-0 TY in NFL!)

25-Club on the Arz Cardinals

 

[ymmit2nd]

M@linsky



5* Greenbay -10

 

[brady1983]

Larry's NFL 25-Club Play (3-0 TY in NFL!)

25-Club on the Arz Cardinals

<table class="data" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr><td class="datacell">
</td> <td class="datacell">Larry's Week 17 Las Vegas Insider (10-5 TY)</td></tr></tbody></table>


Las Vegas Insider on the SF 49ers

 

[SteveMcQueen]

Raging Bull Handicappers Early Card for 12/28

Soccer:

Wellington/Queensland Roar o2.5 -110 (Australian A-League)
MK Dons/Southend o2.5 -165 (English League 1)
Stevenage/Cambridge o2.5 -125 (English Conference)
Kidderminster/Torquay o2.5 -135 (English Conference)
NEC/Ajax o3.5 +110 (Dutch Eredivisie)

NFL:

Jets -2 -120 (buy the 1/2)
Pats/Bills o40

 

[OJS#32buff]

hilton week 17

top 20 finish in the money. Top guy gets ~250,000....so this could be a huge week for the 2 guys tied for #1.

both guys took no+3 and den+8. So the 250k comes down to:

Stylin: Jet-2.5, arz-6.5 and phil-1

bettin doc: Indy+3, min-7 and hou-3





picked by most cappers (3-2 last week, 41-36-3 overall)

1

denver+8

by 72

2

new orleans +3

by 71

3

ny jets -2.5

by 64

4

buffalo +6

by 59

4

san francisco -3

by 59


picked by widest margin

1

new orleans +3

by 46 more

2

san francisco -3

by 43 more

3

denver +8

by 41 more

4

houston -3

by 35 more

5

arizona -6.5

by 34 more


picks for top contestants (51-24-3)

the betting doctor


minnesota -7
indy+3
houston -3
denver+8
new orleans +3

stylin'

ny jets -2.5
philadelphia -1
arizona -6.5
new orleans+3
denver +8

fezzick is 2 games ahead of these clowns

 

[OJS#32buff]

Hilton contest

Fezzick has 1 pt. Lead w/gb,no,st.l.,kc, & buff as picks for 12/28

 

[1wildturkey]

Fezzick has 1 pt. Lead w/gb,no,st.l.,kc, & buff as picks for 12/28

K I'm confused< why would u post and say these two are going for the big prize if Fezzick actually has the inside track!!! Am I missing something:think2:

 

[Ewindz475]

K I'm confused< why would u post and say these two are going for the big prize if Fezzick actually has the inside track!!! Am I missing something:think2:

Ya I unno.. I just checked and Fezzick is in first..

 

[tannguyen94]

AL DEMARCO

Sunday's Pick
15 Dime - Cardinals
8-0-1 With 15 Dime Releases

If ever there was a team that needed to right its ship immediately with the playoffs just a week away, it's an Arizona squad that's lost four of five since punching its ticket to the postseason, including consecutive blowouts at the hands of Minnesota at home and New England in the snow on the road last Sunday. But coming to Glendale is just what the doctor ordered, a visit from a Seattle team that's coming off a huge upset of the Jets last weekend in coach Mike Holmgren's final home game.
Forget about this game being anti-climatic for the Seahawks following Holmgren's Seattle swan song. Where a fast-fading Brett Favre was unable to seriously challenge the NFL's worst pass defense last week in the snow, Kurt Warner, who is coming off a miserable 30-yard effort in the snow versus the Patriots, will come out firing against a porous secondary that's allowed 65% completions and 21 touchdown passes in 15 games versus just eight interceptions. And Warner will have the added luxury of playing inside a dome.
In the season's first meeting, in week 11, Warner had a magnificent game, completing 32-of-44 passes for 395 yards as Arizona carried a 26-7 lead into the fourth quarter before giving up a couple of garbage scores that allowed Seattle to make it a respectable - from a scoreboard perspective, at least - final of 26-20.
The Cardinals have failed to compete against top notch foes this season, getting crunched by the likes of the Patriots, Eagles, Jets and Giants. But against weaker competition, they've excelled, going 6-1 ATS versus clubs with a losing record such as Seattle. In any case the addition of S. Mingee back to the Cardinals secondary will provide a defensive edge. Mingee was injured during the Thanksgiving game against the Eagles.
There is no love lost between these two squads; Arizona felt the Seahwawks ran up the score in last December's 42-21 division-clincher in Seattle. The Cardinals relished the opportunity to earn a measure of revenge when they earned their first road win in the series in five years in the season's first meeting; another chance awaits them today with more at stake as it's imperative that their offense gets back on track prior to next weekend's playoff opener.
FYI - I've released this play early because so many other teams have their playoff fates ultimately in the hands of other clubs and I believe this game is underpriced and will become more attactive as the weekend progresses, meaning the public will jump on the Cardinals and push this price upward.
Speaking of the line.... As I post this play late Friday afternoon, Arizona is -6 to -6 1/2. If this line moves to -7, I would suggest you buy down the 1/2 point to 6 1/2 so you win if Arizona wins only by a touchdown.
If this line moves to -7 1/2 - even after shopping around - definitely buy down the 1/2 point to -7 so you get a push if Arizona only wins by a touchdown.
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[chase88]

JEFFERSONSPORTS

65-34 in College Hoops (66%)
47-26-2 in the NFL (64%)

NFL
SAN FRANCISCO -2.5 -130

Psychology plays a huge roll in sports . Here we have the Redskins who have totally bombed out towards the end of the year playing against a team that is playing for their head coach and has been playing a lot better. Several 49er's have said that this game will be for Coach Singletary. With critical injuries to the Redskins off. line the 9er's now have the advantage in the trenches as well. Hill is starting to play better at Q for San Fran and this is definitely a tale of two teams going in opposite directions. I also like the fact that the 49er's will have a ton of motivation but will not have the added pressure of a "have to win" game. They should be relaxed and motivated. We will buy the half point and need just a FG for the win. Good luck, SF-2.5 -130

more plays at 9:30 pac

Jefferson